Industrial Components

Challenge

Mid-size manufacturer facing cash-flow volatility from supplier concentration and seasonal demand. Needed quantifiable exposure and board-ready mitigation options.

Solution

Executive Risk Diagnostic identified single-source dependencies, seasonal inventory buildup, and FX exposure on raw materials. We built a scenario library and an action plan with owners and thresholds.

Outcomes

Cash Protected

520k

COGS Trend

-45bps

Cash Runway

+35days

Supplier Risk

-22%

Before / After

Before

After

Supplier Concentration

67%

45%

Cash Runway

45days

80days

Inventory Turns

4.2x

5.8x

12-month lookback, weekly aggregation, 95% confidence. Values illustrative.

Timeline

Data Intake

0–2

COGS by SKU, vendor list, AR/AP aging, inventory data

Models & Scenarios

3–7

Built P50/P95 scenarios, supplier concentration analysis, FX impact model

Board Plan

8–10

12-slide deck, 45-min readout, action plan with owners

Data Used

• COGS by SKU
• Vendor master list
• AR/AP aging
• Inventory on-hand
• Purchase orders
• FX exposure by vendor

Limitations

Analysis based on 12-month historical data. Future results may vary based on market conditions, operational changes, and external factors.

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